Storms continue on Monday while the tropics heat up

The National Hurricane Center says there is a 60 percent chance of tropical development in the circled area within 5 days

That circulation is expected to drift into the southern Gulf of Mexico Monday.

The system is expected to stay weak.a tropical depression or storm. Others take the system on a more west-northwest track toward TX.

As of Monday evening, the storm was expected to become a tropical storm either overnight or during the day Tuesday, according to Roger Erickson, warning coordinator for the local National Weather Service office.

Monday will see around a 40 percent chance of rain with the most of that happening rain south of Lake Pontchartrain. Its maximum sustained winds are near 40 miles per hour (64 kph) with weakening expected to begin later in the day. Right now it has a medium chance of development as it moves west toward northern South America and the eastern Caribbean Sea next week.

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Showers and storms continue to develop around a broad area of low pressure that has exited the Yucatan Peninsula and moved into the southern Gulf of Mexico.

While there are model runs on Invest 93L, until a well-defined center of circulation is identified and pinpointed, computer models are not reliable. And the wave approaching the SE Caribbean will be battling a good deal of shear in the coming days making any sustained development slow, at best.

Forecasters say a tropical storm warning has now been extended further westward for a disturbance in the central Gulf and it now covers an area from High Island, Texas, to the mouth of the Pearl River between Louisiana and Mississippi. By Monday night, meteorologists had measured maximum sustained winds of 40 miles per hour. We will see the greatest chance for rain and storms associated with the tropical system and a washed out front to the south of I-20 tonight through Tuesday.

A storm surge between one and two feet above ground level is also possible for parts of the Louisiana coast, forecasters said, along with possible tornadoes extending into the Panhandle.

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